Science Seminars

Understanding and Forecasting the Sun-to-belts Connection

Speaker: Ioannis Daglis (University of Athens)
Date: Thursday, May 06, 2021
Time: 10:00 AM
Location: Zoom

Seminar Abstract:

Occasional enhancements of relativistic and ultra-relativistic electrons in the outer Van Allen belt rank among the most detrimental space weather hazards for satellites. These enhancements attract our interest and attention, both because of the challenge of understanding the complex synergy of underlying processes and because of the importance of risk mitigation through the prediction of their appearance. The physical processes leading to the appearance of such electrons have a wider astrophysical interest, due to the impressively efficient energization of up to seven orders of magnitude.
The major objective of the European Union funded SafeSpace project is the detailed understanding of the interplay of these processes and the development of a prediction pipeline that will facilitate risk mitigation of relativistic electron hazards through the design and provision of a Space Safety Service. This talk reports on some recent findings of the SafeSpace team and outlines the project strategy towards achieving accurate and reliable forecasts with lead times of 2-4 days from the current few-hour forecasts.